Some Stats

The Yankees have done a very good job of playing from ahead the last two games against Seattle. Good pitching is certainly essential to holding leads, but taking the lead in the first place does a lot to relax one’s starter, one’s team, and to force the opposition to respond instead of dictate. In the first two games of the series, the Yankees have outscored the Mariners 7-1 in the first three innings. In the first 29 games of the season, however, the Yankees were outscored by the opposition 52-29 in the first three innings. They would be well served to continue to score early, as long as they don’t score early and not add on later.

In his last three starts, Mike Mussina is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA, allowing 18 hits, five runs earned, two walks, and fanning ten over 18 innings. He has averaged just over 92 pitches per start, or 15.39 pitches per inning over this stretch. 180 of the 277 pitches have been strikes, a terrific ratio. Pretty impressive work from Mussina. In his last two starts, Andy Pettite has allowed 15 hits, 10 runs 9 earned, 4 walks, 4 HRs, and fanned 6 in 11 innings, dropping both decisions with an ERA of 7.36.

In their last 12 games, Jason Giambi is 7 for his last 38 (.184) with 7 runs, 7 RBIs, 8 walks, 1 double, 3 HRs, and 5 K’s. Robinson Cano is 5 for his last 40 (.125) with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, 5 walks, 1 double, 1 homer, and 7 K’s.

Conversely, over the same stretch Johnny Damon is 19 of his last 46 (.413) with 14 runs, 9 RBIs, 7 walks, 8 doubles, 3 HRs, and 7 K’s.  Since I neglected to mention this in last night’s wrap, big kudos to JD for readily rooting hard for teammates Morgan Ensberg and Jose Molina when their hit and sac fly respectively added crucial insurance runs to make it 5-1. JD was visible near the end of the bench, on his feet applauding and shouting out to Ensberg. He’s not known as a terrific teammate for nothing. Derek Jeter is 14 for his last 52 (.269) with 6 runs, 4 RBIs, 1 walk, 2 doubles, and 3 K’s.  Melky the Clutch is 13 for his last 41 (.317) with 7 runs, 8 RBIs, 4 walks, 3 doubles, 2 HRs and 6 K’s. In three games batting sixth, he is 4-12 (.333) with 2 RBIs, a double, a walk, and a K. He should stay, or even move up to fifth and let Giambi protect him. Hideki Matsui is 14 for his last 46 (.304) with 4 runs, 7 RBIs, 7 walks, 2 doubles, a HR, and 4 K’s. In six games batting clean-up, Matsui is 8-21 (.381) with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, 6 walks, and 2 K’s–no extra-base hits but very solid play.

Published in: on May 3, 2008 at 9:11 pm  Comments (4)  

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4 CommentsLeave a comment

  1. Nice stats you’ve just put together there. I just blogged the same about Moose and JD. I love Moose and I’m real excited he’s pitching so well. In my opinion he’s deserving of enshrinement in Cooperstown. I don’t think he’ll get there, but he definitely deserves it.

    Damon has been en fuego lately. He is the table setter and the team thrives when he does well. He’s been ripping it up. It looks like he’s got a little pop in his bat too. He’s a guy I definitely don’t mind getting behind.

    Cano and Giambi are disgusting me right now, Cano more so b/c he’s such a great hitter. it was mid-May last year before he really got started. i just don’t get what’s wrong with him. He’s caught a few bad breaks but by and large he’s been awful. No sugar coating it.

    Take care and give everyone in the Hearltand a greeting from WNY.


  2. great stuff jason–you may rival the stat wizard yet!

    i wonder if the giambi experiment would be tolerated this long if jorge and alex were not out. they must be clinging to the hope that he will knock a few out of there. the “shift” is actually something that gets the hoped for results most of the time, and not just with giambi, but with most of the slow footed lefty DH types. if they can’t learn to hit the other way, then they should be seated.
    eben though the cubs lit him up today, loshe has been quite a clutch performer for the cards this year. maybe cashman should have signed him or someone like him as insurance for just the situation we’re in now.

  3. here’s a stat for yankee fans

    moose ERA 4.23
    beckett ERA 4.19

    not bad, huh?

  4. You’ve long touted Mussina, J-Boogie, understandably so. I’m not sure about Mussina for Cooperstown, even though his career numbers may merit it. I think he’ll lose a lot of votes (especially among people too wedded to stats) because he doesn’t have the flashy numbers–no 20-win seasons, no rings yet, no Cy Youngs, he probably won’t get to 3,000 strikeouts, 7-9 post-season. But he’s been consistently excellent over most of his career. He has 107 more wins than losses, he was outstanding with Baltimore, and has re-invented himself fairly well the last couple years. I will always remember the guy for his game-saving stint in Game 7 of the ALCS–three innings of two-hit ball to hold Clemens’s terrible start together and keep the Yankees in it. It’s a tough call but, in the steroids era, his worth in historic terms should go up in my opinion. Damon has bounced back very well, and the Yanks really need him to be good this year. He makes things go.

    Mike, great stat comparison between Mussina and Beckett, who has been pretty good for the Sox but not overwhelming thus far this year. I think you’re exactly right about why Giambi has been in the lineup this often–the choice of power over results thus far with the other key injuries. Your point about the shift echoes Geoff’s from the BPS nicely–it usually works. Thome beat the Yankees’ shift in the game I attended with a slap hit down third, and Giambi is foolish for not innovating ways to beat it, especially when he’s not hitting the ball OVER it as he and the team want.

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